Marina Stakusic vs Jelena Ostapenko Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance shows a slight edge to Ostapenko, winning 38.6% of points compared to Stakusic's 37.99%.
• Stakusic has a stronger return game on opponents' second serves, claiming 56.09% of points versus Ostapenko's 52.03%.
• Both players are solid on first serve returns, but Ostapenko edges slightly ahead with 33.26% versus Stakusic's 31.73%.
• When under pressure, Stakusic excels in saving breakpoints at 50.22%, compared to Ostapenko's 45.5%.
• Ostapenko has a superior win rate on grass courts, at 68%, while Stakusic performs best on indoor hard courts, holding a 65% win rate.
• Overall, Ostapenko has experienced higher-level competition with an average opponent ranking of 53.29, compared to Stakusic's 174.02.
• In head-to-head matchups, Stakusic leads, having won their only previous encounter that included a deciding set where she outperformed Ostapenko.
• On converting breakpoints, Stakusic has a conversion rate of 47.83%, slightly above Ostapenko's 45.33%.
• Despite the head-to-head disadvantage, Ostapenko boasts a 70% winning rate in deciding sets over the past year, against all opponents.

Editorial Prediction (September 12, 2025, UTC):

As Ostapenko and Stakusic prepare to face each other again, both bring specific strengths to the court. Ostapenko has shown a slight advantage in winning points on the second serve and performing against higher-ranked players.

However, Stakusic edges her opponent in critical areas such as breakpoint conversion and saving break chances, and importantly, holds the head-to-head advantage, having won the previous encounter.

An intriguing factor is Ostapenko's superior experience in high-stakes matches, shown by her high winning rate in deciding sets. Yet, Stakusic's ability to capitalize on opportunities makes this an evenly matched contest.

Despite Ostapenko's broader success on grass and against top-ranked adversaries, Stakusic's past victory gives her a psychological edge.

Analyzing these aspects, Marina Stakusic is slightly favored to win the upcoming match.